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Arctic Shipping Routes and China’s Maritime Transport Productivity
1 The Significance of Arctic Shipping Routes in the Context \\\\\\\\r\\\\\\\\nof Climate Change .............................................. 1 \\\\\\\\r\\\\\\\\n1.1 The Reconfiguration of Shipping Geography Caused \\\\\\\\r\\\\\\\\nby the Melting of Arctic Sea Ice ............................... 1 \\\\\\\\r\\\\\\\\n1.2 The Economic Geography Significance of the Commercial \\\\\\\\r\\\\\\\\nOperation of the Northeast Passage ............................ 2 \\\\\\\\r\\\\\\\\n1.3 A Realistic Analysis of the Impact of the New Shipping Route \\\\\\\\r\\\\\\\\nOpening on the Productivity of Maritime Transportation and its \\\\\\\\r\\\\\\\\nSignificance ................................................ 5 \\\\\\\\r\\\\\\\\n1.4 Literature Review ........................................... 6 \\\\\\\\r\\\\\\\\nReferences ...................................................... 9 \\\\\\\\r\\\\\\\\n2 The Current State of China’s Maritime Transport Productivity ...... 11 \\\\\\\\r\\\\\\\\n2.1 China’s Maritime Transport Carriers ........................... 12 \\\\\\\\r\\\\\\\\n2.2 China’s Maritime Transport Infrastructure ....................... 15 \\\\\\\\r\\\\\\\\n3 Empirical Analysis of Maritime Transport Productivity ............. 23 \\\\\\\\r\\\\\\\\n3.1 Calculation Method of Maritime Transport Productivity ........... 24 \\\\\\\\r\\\\\\\\n3.2 Empirical Analysis of the Arctic Route’s Impact on Maritime \\\\\\\\r\\\\\\\\nTransport Productivity ....................................... 26 \\\\\\\\r\\\\\\\\nReferences ...................................................... 35 \\\\\\\\r\\\\\\\\n4 Model of the Impact on China’s Maritime Transportation \\\\\\\\r\\\\\\\\nProductivity .................................................... 37 \\\\\\\\r\\\\\\\\n4.1 Demand .................................................... 38 \\\\\\\\r\\\\\\\\n4.2 Supply ..................................................... 39 \\\\\\\\r\\\\\\\\n4.3 Relationship Between Productivity and Trade Share .............. 40 \\\\\\\\r\\\\\\\\n4.4 General Equilibrium ......................................... 41 \\\\\\\\r\\\\\\\\n4.5 Solving for the Counterfactual Equilibrium...................... 42 \\\\\\\\r\\\\\\\\nReferences ...................................................... 43\\\\\\\\r\\\\\\\\n5 Counterfactual Analysis to the Impact of Arctic Shipping Routes \\\\\\\\r\\\\\\\\non China’s Maritime Transport Productivity ....................... 45 \\\\\\\\r\\\\\\\\n5.1 Changes in Maritime Transport Productivity ..................... 46 \\\\\\\\r\\\\\\\\n5.2 Data Sources and Analysis .................................... 47 \\\\\\\\r\\\\\\\\n5.3 Analysis of Estimation Results ................................ 49 \\\\\\\\r\\\\\\\\n5.4 Counterfactual Results ....................................... 50 \\\\\\\\r\\\\\\\\nReferences ...................................................... 52 \\\\\\\\r\\\\\\\\n6 The Pathways and Layout Strategies for Enhancing China’s \\\\\\\\r\\\\\\\\nMaritime Transport Productivity ................................. 53 \\\\\\\\r\\\\\\\\n6.1 Hub-Centered Development Strategies in the Era of Arctic \\\\\\\\r\\\\\\\\nShipping ................................................... 54 \\\\\\\\r\\\\\\\\n6.2 The “Dual-Circulation” Layout for the Construction \\\\\\\\r\\\\\\\\nof the National Maritime Transport Power ...................... 56 \\\\\\\\r\\\\\\\\n6.3 Digital, Green, and Resilient Infrastructure Upgrading \\\\\\\\r\\\\\\\\nfor Productivity Enhancement ................................. 58 \\\\\\\\r\\\\\\\\n6.4 The Chinese Plan for the Formulation of Polar Shipping Rules \\\\\\\\r\\\\\\\\nand International Governance ................................. 59 \\\\\\\\r\\\\\\\\nReferences ...................................................... 61
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